| 摘要: |
| 露营和徒步旅游对天气预报有迫切的需求。用1988-2017年花溪气象站30a观测到的逐日气温、风速、相对湿度和降雨量资料代表黔中地区，分析了花溪的气候背景和温湿指数特征，应用影响露营和徒步气象要素的分布概率等统计资料，得到了黔中地区的露营气象预报指数。将黔中地区的露营气象指数分成4个等级，即非常适宜、适宜、不适宜和非常不适宜。按照降水量多少、风力大小、温湿指数三个要素建立露营气象指数预报模型。由于预报模型所使用的气象资料为黔中地区，对于不同的地区来说是不尽相同的，各区域必须根据本地化应用的是需要进行标准的划分。 |
| 关键词: 露营气象指数; 预报方法; 贵州; 黔中 |
| DOI： |
| 投稿时间：2018-06-27修订日期：2019-05-16 |
| 基金项目: |
|
| Preliminary study on forecasting method of camping meteorological index in Central Guizhou |
| shangyuanyuan,xia xiaoling,du zhengjing |
| (Meteorological Science Centerof Guizhou Province) |
| Abstract: |
| Camping and hiking are pressing needs for weather forecasts. The daily temperature, wind speed, relative humidity and rainfall data were observed in the Huaxi meteorological station at the Huaxi meteorological station for 1988-2017 years. The climatic background and the characteristics of the temperature and humidity index in Huaxi were analyzed, and the distribution probability of the meteorological factors affecting the camping and hiking was applied to get the weather forecast index in the central Guizhou region. The camping meteorological index in Central Guizhou is divided into 4 grades, that is, very suitable, suitable, inappropriate and very unsuitable. According to the three factors of precipitation, wind force and temperature and humidity index, a camping meteorological index prediction model is established. Because the meteorological data used in the forecast model are in the central Guizhou region, it is different for different regions, and the region must be divided according to the local application. |
| Key words: camping meteorological index; prediction method; Guizhou; central Guizhou |
