不同天气背景下贵州冰雹日对流初生特征与地形响应机制
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1.贵州省山地气象科学研究所;2.贵州省气象台

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中国气象局创新发展专项(CXFZ2025Q019) ;国家自然科学基金(42465001) ;贵州省气象局创新团队(黔气科合 TD 〔2024〕05 号、黔气科合 TD〔2024〕03 号);贵州省科技计划项目(黔科合支撑〔2023〕一般 194)


Convective Initiation Characteristics and Topographic Response Mechanisms on Hail Days under Different Synoptic Patterns in Guizhou
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1.Institute of Mountain Meteorology, Guizhou Meteorological Bureau;2.Guizhou Meteorological Observatory

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    摘要:

    【 目的】为分析贵州省冰雹日对流初生的时空分布规律,识别冰雹预警的关键区域,了解监测预警重点时段。 【方法】基于 110 个冰雹日对流初生(CI)的识别结果,分析不同天气型背景下的差异特征及其与地形因子的关系。【结果】1) CI 呈现“春季高频、午后与夜间双峰 ”特征,CI 回波顶高与关键热力层结关系存在显著季节演变,CI 最活跃区位于乌蒙山东侧斜坡过渡带,呈现“西部山地触发—沿地形坡降东移发展 ”的演变模式,春季 CI 由西部高海拔源区向东北推进,夏季在西南山地和川滇黔交界保持活跃并在低海拔丘陵区出现新中心。2)贵州省冰雹日主要为高空槽型和锋前降雹型。西北气流型和切变线型反映出冷空气与地形通道的耦合特征;高空槽型和锋前降雹型呈现沿西北—东南向地形的阶梯性触发特征。3) CI 分布主要与高程、坡向和地形切割深度呈显著正相关。【结论】研究根据冰雹日的 CI 分布特征,揭示了地形—环流耦合作用下贵州冰雹对流初生的触发机制。

    Abstract:

    Abstract: To make clear the spatio-temporal distribution characteristics of convective initiation ( CI) on hail days and recognize the key areas and periods for hail warnings in Guizhou Province , using the identification results of convective initiation (CI) on 110 hail days , this study analyzes the distinct characteristics of CI under different synoptic patterns and their relationships with topographic factors . The results show that :(1) Temporally , CI exhibits a pattern of " high frequency in spring with double peaks in the afternoon and nighttime . " A significant seasonal evolution has been observed in the relationship between CI echo top height and critical thermodynamic stratification . Spatially , the most active CI zone is located along the eastern transitional slopes of the Wumeng Mountains , presenting an evolutionary pattern of " being triggered over western mountainous terrain followed by eastward development along the topographic gradient. " In spring , CI progresses northeastward from western high- altitude source regions , while in summer , it remains active in the southwestern mountains and the junction areas of Sichuan , Yunnan and Guizhou , with new centers emerging in lower-elevation hilly areas . (2) Synoptically , hail days in Guizhou are dominated by upper-level trough patterns and pre-frontal hail patterns . The northwestern airflow and shear line patterns reflect the coupling characteristics between cold air intrusion and topographic channels , whereas the upper-level trough and pre-frontal hail patterns demonstrate the stepped triggering feature along northwest- southeast oriented terrain . (3) The spatial distribution of CI has a significantly positive correlation with elevation , slope direction and terrain incision depth . Based on the distribution characteristics of CI on hail days , this study reveals the triggering mechanisms of hailstorm convective initiation in Guizhou under the coupling of terrain and circulation .

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李丽丽,周永水,彭波,等.不同天气背景下贵州冰雹日对流初生特征与地形响应机制[J].山地气象学报,2026,50(1):1-8.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-12-14
  • 最后修改日期:2026-01-19
  • 录用日期:2026-01-24
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-03-10
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