人工防雹作业射击参数与作业模式优化设计
DOI:
CSTR:
作者:
作者单位:

1.贵州省山地气象科学研究所;2.贵州省毕节市气象局;3.贵州省人工影响天气中心;4.贵州省黔西南布依族苗族自治州气象局

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

贵州省气象局创新团队(黔气科合TD〔2024〕03号);贵州省气象局省市联合基金(黔气科合SS-SZ〔2024〕10号);贵州省科技支撑计划(黔科合支撑〔2023〕一般193号)


Optimization Design of Shooting Parameters and Modes for the Operation of Artificial Hail Suppression
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Guizhou Institute of Mountain Meteorological Sciences;2.Bijie Meteorological Office of Guizhou Province;3.Guizhou Meteorological Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Center;4.Qianxinan Bouyei and Miao Autonomous Prefecture Meteorological Office of Guizhou Province

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    【 目的】针对单站点 1 次作业、2 次作业和多站点同步作业等 3 种作业模式,聚焦于人工防雹作业时机与作业部位是否适当的研究,优化设计人工防雹作业射击参数与作业模式,提高人工防雹作业爆炸作用于目标区的精准度。【方法】以2018 年 4 月 21 日贵州中西部 1 次冰雹天气过程为例,结合人工防雹爆炸作业条件和作业射击弹道参数,通过对 3 种作业模式下作业时机和作业部位的解析,给出了作业适宜时段、作业射击参数、最佳作业时间窗、协同作业时间线等作业优化设计的技术方法,并复盘分析评估人工防雹作业时机和作业效果。【结果】在满足人工防雹爆炸作业条件下,作业时机应设定在初始作业时间的 5 min 内,作业部位应以对流单体移动方向的前沿部为主,与初始降雹时间和雹粒子尺度谱分布相一致;对于单一单体而言,应以逐次作业为主,多站点同步作业为辅,实时跟踪和外推估算对流单体的移动方向、移动速度所导致的作业射击方位、作业射击仰角的改变。【结论】从复盘分析评估结果来看,单站点 1 次作业时效性和作业命中率要显著高于多站点同步作业模式,这主要取决于作业时机是否适当;在作业爆炸前后 30 min 内,单体雷达回波强度、高度、含水量、体积等特征量呈现减小或先增加后减小的变化趋势,与各地爆炸后出现强回波顶高迅速降低的观测结果相一致,证实是爆炸作用所产生的效果。

    Abstract:

    This paper focuses on the research of whether the time and location of artificial hail prevention operation are appropriate. The optimization design of shooting parameters and operation mode of artificial hail prevention operation has important guiding significance and application value to improve the accuracy of explosion which is conducted in the target area of artificial hail prevention operation. Taking the hail prevention in central_ western Guizhou on April 21, 2018 as a study case, through combining operation conditions and projectile trajectory parameters and analyzing three operational modes, this paper identifies optimal timing and target areas, and proposes technical methods for operational optimization including suitable time windows, shooting parameters, optimal time slots, and coordinated operation timelines. Besides, retrospective analysis is conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of artificial hail prevention operations. The results are as follows: When conducting artificial hail prevention operations, the optimal timing should be within the first 5 min of the initial operation period. The primary focus should be on the leading edge of the convective cell 's movement direction, which aligns with the initial hailfall timing and particle size distribution. For individual convective cells, the approach should prioritize gradual secondary operations while supplementing with multi_site synchronized operations. Real_time tracking and extrapolation are essential to estimate changes in the cell movement direction and speed, which directly influence the adjustment of firing positions and elevation angles during operations. The retrospective analysis and evaluation results show that single_site sequential operations exhibit significantly higher operational efficiency and hit rates compared to multi_site synchronous operations, which is mainly depends on whether the operation timing is appropriate. During the 30 min period before and after the explosion, key radar parameters (echo intensity, altitude, water content, and volume) show the variation trends of decreasing, or increasing followed by decreasing. This variation pattern is consistent with post_explosion observations of rapidly declining echo peak heights in associated areas, confirming the effect of the explosion.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

邹书平,黄钰,武孔亮,等.人工防雹作业射击参数与作业模式优化设计[J].山地气象学报,2026,50(2):11-21.

复制
分享
相关视频

文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2025-10-20
  • 最后修改日期:2026-01-16
  • 录用日期:2026-01-24
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-20
  • 出版日期:
文章二维码