1953-2024年岳阳气温的气候变化特征
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1.湖南省气候中心;2.洞庭湖国家气象观象台;3.长沙国家综合气象观测实验基地;4.湖南省长沙市气象局

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2025年湖南省自然科学基金(2025JJ80280)


Climatic Characteristics of Temperature Changes in Yueyang from 1953 to 2024
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1.Hunan Climate Center;2.Dongting Lake National Meteorological Observatory;3.Changsha National Comprehensive Meteorological Observation Experimental Base;4.Changsha Meteorological office of Hunan Province

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    摘要:

    【目的】分析 72 a 岳阳气温的气候变化特征。【方法】基于岳阳及洞庭湖区气象站气温观测资料,利用线性趋势、M - K 突变、小波分析、贡献率等方法,分析 1953-2024 年岳阳气温变化特征,以及月气温对年气温变化趋势的贡献。【结果】岳阳年气温呈上升趋势,以平均最低气温的 0. 34 ℃/(10 a)最大,平均气温的 0. 26 ℃/(10 a)次之,平均最高气温的 0. 15 ℃/(10 a)最小。春季平均最高气温升温速率为 0. 31 ℃/(10 a), 对春季升温起加速作用。气温升温存在月际不均匀性,平均气温除 7、8 月外,其他各个月份均呈极显著或显著上升的趋势;平均最高气温仅在 3-5 月和 11 月呈显著上升趋势;各月份平均最低气温均呈极显著或显著上升的趋势,平均、平均最高、平均最低气温均在 3 月升温最快,速率分别为 0. 43、0. 36、0. 49 ℃/ (10 a) 。各月份平均气温对年平均气温的升温均为正贡献,3 月贡献率最大为 8. 2%, 平均最低气温对年平均气温升温的贡献率为 70% 。【结论】研究结果可以提高对气候变暖背景下湖区气温气候变化特征的认识。

    Abstract:

    To analyze the climate change characteristics of temperature in Yueyang over the past 72 years, using the temperature observation data from meteorological stations in Yueyang and the Dongting Lake area, as well as the methods of linear trend analysis, M_K mutation analysis, wavelet analysis, and contribution rate analysis, we analyze the characteristics of temperature changes in Yueyang from 1953 to 2024, and the contribution of monthly temperature to the annual temperature trend. The results show that the annual temperature in Yueyang presents an upward trend, with the highest rate of increase in average minimum temperature 0. 34 ℃ per decade, followed by average temperature (0. 26 ℃ per decade), and the lowest in average maximum temperature (0. 15 ℃ per decade). The rate of increase in average maximum temperature in spring is 0. 31 ℃ per decade, which accelerates the temperature increase in spring. There exists inter_monthly unevenness in temperature rise. Except in July and August, the average temperature shows a highly significant or significant upward trend in all other months. The average maximum temperature only has a significant upward trend in March, April, May and November, while the average minimum temperature is in a highly significant or significant upward trend in all months. The average temperature, average maximum temperature, and average minimum temperature all rise most rapidly in March at the rates of 0. 43, 0. 36, and 0. 49 ℃ per decade, respectively. The average temperature of each month makes a positive contribution to the increase of annual average temperature, of which the temperature in March contributes most, accounting for 8. 2%. The average minimum temperature contributes 70% to the annual average temperature increase. These findings can improve our understanding of the characteristics of temperature and climate change in lake areas under the background of global warming.

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张剑明,郭凌曜,谭楚岩,等.1953-2024年岳阳气温的气候变化特征[J].山地气象学报,2026,50(2):83-90.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-09-10
  • 最后修改日期:2026-01-09
  • 录用日期:2026-01-12
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-20
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