基于稠密雨量观测的贵州省极端短时强降水特征分析
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1.贵州省贵阳市气象局;2.成都信息工程大学光电工程学院(人工影响天气学院);3.贵州省生态与农业气象中心;4.贵州省气象数据中心

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贵州气象大数据创新中心基金项目(黔气科合QY-MS〔2025〕01)


Analysis of Characteristics of Extreme Short-Duration Heavy Rainfall in Guizhou Province Based on Dense Rainfall Observations
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1.Guiyang Meteorological Office of Guizhou Province;2.College of Optoelectronic;3.Guizhou Eco_Agrometeorological Center;4.Guizhou Meteorological Data Center

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    摘要:

    【目的】揭示贵州省极端短时强降水分布特征。【方法】利用 2014-2023 年贵州省稠密自动气象观测站逐小时降水资料,统计分析贵州省 10 a 来汛期极端短时强降水时空分布特征,利用合成分析法探讨产生极端短时强降水的环流背景。【结果】贵州省极端短时强降水平均每年汛期出现 321 站次,占短时强降水的 6. 1%, 主要集中在 5 月下旬至 7 月 中旬的夜间(20 时-次日 05 时)。空间分布存在 3 个高发区:东北部梵净山东侧,东南部清水江流域以及雷公山西南侧和南侧,西南部苗岭西段南侧斜坡区、黔西南东侧斜坡区、望谟西南侧以及罗甸和长顺一带。季内及日变化特征显著,尤其是日变化单峰型特征明显,峰值出现在 01 时,傍晚至次日上午呈现自西向东分布。4-6 月呈现自东向西分布,7-9 月 向西南、向东收缩。 【结论】极端短时强降水空间分布与天气系统、地形特征密切相关,天气系统差异影响极端短时强降水的空间分布,山脉迎风坡、峡谷、“喇叭口”地形引发的强迫抬升、阻挡停滞、辐合作用以及下游河流分布对降水有增幅作用。

    Abstract:

    To reveal the distribution characteristics of extreme short_duration heavy rainfall in Guizhou Province, a statistical analysis is conducted on the spatio_temporal distribution characteristics of extreme short_ duration heavy rainfall during the flood season over the past 10 years based on the hourly precipitation data from automatic weather stations in Guizhou Province in 2014_2023, and the circulation backgrounds of such rainfall are explored by means of composite analysis. The results show that, annually, 321 station/times of extreme short_ duration heavy rainfall on average occur during the flood season in Guizhou Province, accounting for 6. 1% of all short_duration heavy rainfall events. These events are concentrated mainly from late May to mid_July, predominantly over the nighttime (20:00 - 05:00). Spatially, three high_incidence areas of such short_duration heavy rainfall are identified, that is, the eastern side of Mount Fanjing in northeastern Guizhou, the Qingshui River basin and the southwestern and southern sides of Mount Leigong in southeastern Guizhou, and the southern slopes of the western Miaoling area, the eastern slopes of southwestern Guizhou, the southwestern side of Wangmo, and the areas around Luodian and Changshun in southwestern Guizhou. In addition, significant intra_seasonal and diurnal variations of short_duration heavy rainfall have been observed, especially the single_peak diurnal variation feature is obvious, with the rainfall peak observed at 01:00. From evening to the next morning, the short_duration heavy rainfall distribution shows the shift from west to east. From April to June, the distribution has the trend from east to west, while from July to September, it contracts southwestward and eastward. Overall, the spatial distribution of extreme short_duration heavy rainfall is closely related to weather systems and topographic features. Differences in weather systems can influence the monthly spatial distribution of these events. The forced uplift, blocking, stagnation and convergence, which are caused by the topographic effect from windward slopes, valleys and horn_shaped basins, along with the distribution of downstream rivers, collectively enhance short_duration rainfall.

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王君军,周林,胡祖恒,等.基于稠密雨量观测的贵州省极端短时强降水特征分析[J].山地气象学报,2026,50(2):59-65.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-06-16
  • 最后修改日期:2025-11-12
  • 录用日期:2025-11-13
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-20
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