基于MODIS的湖南省白天地表温度时空演变特征分析
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1.湖南省怀化市气象局;2.湖南省气象信息中心;3.湖南省气象科学研究所;4.湖南省株洲市气象局

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湖南省气象局创新发展专项重点项目(CXFZ2025 - ZDXM01);怀化市气象局重点项目(HHQX24A002) 。


Spatio-Temporal Evolution Characteristics of Daytime Land Surface Temperature in Hunan Province Based on MODIS
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1.Huaihua Meteorological Office of Hunan Province;2.Hunan Meteorological Information Center;3.Hunan Institute of Meteorological Science;4.Zhuzhou Meteorological Office of Hunan Province

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    摘要:

    【目的】探究湖南省地表温度时空演变特征。【方法】利用 MODIS LST 数据,采用 Sen,s 斜率分析与 Mann - Ken_ dall 检验、Hurst 指数、空间自相关分析等方法,对湖南省 2003-2024 年白天 LST 时空演变特征进行分析。【结果】1) 2003 - 2024 年湖南省白天年均 LST 为 22. 50 ℃, 线性递增率为 - 0. 025 1 ℃/a;除夏季外,白天 LST 呈升高趋势的面积占比均小于呈降低趋势的面积占比;年、季白天 LST 的变化趋势在 85. 89% 以上的区域表现为不显著。2)未来湖南省大部分区域 LST 在白天的变化趋势具有反持续性,表现为由升高转降低、降低转升高、持续降低以及持续升高的面积占比在年尺度上分别为 22. 72% 、69. 12% 、5. 80% 、2. 37% 。3) 湖南省年 LST 白天在 14. 19 ~ 32. 05 ℃之间,极高温、高温、极低温和低温的面积占比分别为 6. 58% 、26. 89% 、6. 68% 和 26. 33%;年、季不同 LST 等级在白天的空间分布基本一致,极高温和高温区主要分布于湘东南区域,极低温和低温区主要分布于大湘西区域。4)湖南省白天 LST 具有显著的空间自相关性且存在明显空间集聚现象,湘南盆地为核心热点区,大湘西丘陵山地为冷岛集中区。【结论】研究成果可为监测湖南省 LST 时空变化、开发利用生态气象资源、保障区域生态环境安全等提供参考。

    Abstract:

    To investigate the spatio_temporal evolution characteristics of land surface temperature (LST) in Hunan Province, this study utilizes MODIS LST data and the methods including Sen,s slope analysis, Mann_Kendall test, Hurst index and spatial autocorrelation analysis to analyze the daytime LST variation from 2003 to 2024. The results indicate that: (1) From 2003 to 2024, the annual average daytime LST in Hunan Province is 22. 50 ℃, with a linear decreasing trend of - 0. 025 1 ℃ per year. Except in summer, the area proportion showing an increasing trend in daytime LST is lower than that showing a decreasing trend. Over 85. 89% of the regions exhibit statistically insignificant trends in annual and seasonal daytime LST variations. (2) Future projections indicate anti_persistent trends in daytime LST across most regions of Hunan Province. This is reflected by the area proportions on an annual scale varying from increasing to decreasing, decreasing to increasing, persistent decreasing, and persistent increasing at 22. 72%, 69. 12%, 5. 80%, and 2. 37%, respectively. (3) Annual daytime LST in Hunan Province ranges between 14. 19 ℃ and 32. 05 ℃. The area proportions of extreme high temperature, high temperature, extreme low temperature, and low temperature are 6. 58%, 26. 89%, 6. 68%, and 26. 33%, respectively. The spatial distribution patterns of different LST levels at annual and seasonal scales remain consistent in daytime, with extreme high temperature and high temperature zones mainly distributed in the southeast of Hunan and extreme low temperature and low temperature zones in the Greater Western Hunan region. (4) Daytime LST in Hunan Province demonstrates significant spatial autocorrelation with distinct clustering phenomena. The southern Hunan basin is the core hotspot area, whereas the hilly and mountainous areas of Greater Western Hunan serve as concentrated cold island regions. This study provides references for monitoring the spatiotemporal variations of LST in Hunan Province, developing and utilizing eco_meteorological resources, and safeguarding regional ecological environment security.

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张坤,冯冼,袁小康,等.基于MODIS的湖南省白天地表温度时空演变特征分析[J].山地气象学报,2026,50(2):66-74.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-04-13
  • 最后修改日期:2025-07-09
  • 录用日期:2025-07-22
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-20
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