引发短时强降水的对流云合并机制分析
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黄山市气象台

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安徽省气象局复盘总结专项(FPZJ202405) 。


Mechanism Analysis of Convective Cloud Merging Process Triggering Short-time Heavy Precipitation
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Huangshan City Observatory of Anhui Province

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    摘要:

    【 目的】为揭示对流云合并过程、方式及动力学机制,并为其引发的灾害性天气预报提供理论支持。【方法】以2023 年 7 月 1 日景德镇到屯溪对流云合并过程为例,利用多源资料融合,采用雷达 UW 反演技术水平风矢量方法,计算分析高分辨率三维风场信息及中高层等熵面上的相关物理量。【结果】1) 此次合并经单体发展、云桥相连、云核合并 3 个阶段,合并后对流云与降水强度增大,引发短时强降水。2)云合并有 2 种方式,一是云系回波扩展形成云桥连接,二是一个云系向另一个移动合并。3)云生长、发展、合并发生在有正等熵位涡平流的大风速入口和低空急流出口区;对应雷达回波合并云桥区内有较大气压梯度力和旋度风。4)锋生在对流云生长发展及合并中作用显著,在地面风辐合线附近与高海拔地带,易诱发 Q矢量散度 ▽ ·Q < 0 增大、位温变化。【结论】大风速入口区和低空急流出口区因正等熵位涡平流、云内外上升下沉气流的相互作用,云桥区气压梯度力和旋度风强化风场辐合抬升是对流云合并的关键条件;同时,混合层以下锋生也发挥了重要作用,尤其在地面风辐合线附近和高海拔地区,Q 矢量散度增大引发位温变化导致锋生,促进对流云生长、发展和合并。

    Abstract:

    Abstract : To reveal the process , mode and dynamic mechanism of convective cloud merging and provide theoretical support for the forecast of disaster-causing weather , by taking the process of convective cloud merging on July 1 , 2023 from Jingdezhen to Tunxi as an example , and using the fused multi-source data and radar UW retrieval technology as well as the horizontal wind vector method , this paper calculates and analyzes the high- resolution three-dimensional wind field and the related physical quantities on the isentropic surface at the middle and high levels . The results are as follows : (1) This convective cloud merging went through the three stages of cell development , cloud bridge connection and cloud core merging. After the merging , the convective cloud and precipitation intensity were strengthened , triggering the occurrence of short-time heavy precipitation . (2) There are two ways of cloud merging : one is the expansion of cloud echo forming a cloud bridge connection , and the other is the movement and merging of one cloud system to the other. (3 ) The cloud growth , development and merging occur in the high wind speed inlet zones and the low-level jet exit zone with positive isentropic potential vorticity advection . At the same time , the radar echo with merging cloud area has a large pressure gradient force and rotational wind . (4) Frontogenesis plays a significant role in the growth , development and merging of convective clouds , and is easy to induce the vector divergence increase and potential temperature change in the vicinity of the surface wind onvergence line and high altitude areas . To sum up , the mechanism of convective cloud merging and short-time heavy precipitation is summarized . Specifically , the high wind speed inlet zone and the low-level jet exit zones are the key conditions for cloud merging due to the interaction of positive isentropic potential vorticity advection , updraft and downdraft inside and outside the cloud , and the pressure gradient force and rotational wind in the cloud bridge area strengthen the wind field convergence uplift. Meanwhile , the frontogenesis below the mixed layer also plays an important role , especially near the surface wind convergence line and in high altitude areas , where it induces potential temperature change through enhancing vector divergence , leading to frontogenesis and promoting the growth , development and merging of convective clouds .

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刘裕禄,王婧,黄骏凯,等.引发短时强降水的对流云合并机制分析[J].山地气象学报,2026,50(1):29-38.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-01-07
  • 最后修改日期:2025-08-25
  • 录用日期:2025-09-04
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-03-10
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