1971—2023 年贵州省风速时空变化特征
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1.习水县气象局;2.仁怀市气象局

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贵州省气象局科研业务项目(黔气科登〔2024〕10 - 08 号)


Spatio-temporal Variation Characteristics of Wind Speed in Guizhou Province from 1971 to 2023
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1.Meteorological Bureau of Xishui,Guizhou Zunyi;2.China;3.Meteorological Bureau of Renhuai,Guizhou Zunyi

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    【目的】为开发贵州省风力资源,研究贵州省风速时空变化特征,了解气候变化对风力资源的影响。【方法】利用趋势分析、M-K 突变检验、小波分析等方法,选用贵州省 80 个国家气象站 1971—2023 年逐日风速探测数据,研究贵州省风速时空变化特征。【结果】贵州省 3 月平均风速最大,10 月最小,呈现波动变化特点;全年平均风速和季节风速均呈下降趋势,低于全国年平均风速下降速率;全年和各季节平均风速均有显著突变,在全部时间尺度上有 2 ~ 3 个明显的变化周期;空间变化上全年平均风速及季节平均风速均呈自西向东逐渐降低的趋势,除省的东部边缘为增加趋势外,其余均为减少趋势;全年和季节风速均与海拔呈显著正相关;全年和各季节平均风速变化也呈显著正相关。【结论】贵州中部的贵阳市,西部的毕节市,黔西南州,六盘水市,安顺市,黔南州北部等地区风力资源丰富,适宜发展相关产业,同时需要考虑局地海拔和气候变化对风力资源开发利用的不利影响。

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    Abstract : To explore the wind energy potential of Guizhou Province and understand the impact of climate change on wind resources , by using the daily wind speed observation data from 80 national meteorological stations across Guizhou Province from 1971 to 2023 and the methods of trend analysis , Mann-Kendall (M-K) mutation test and wavelet analysis , this paper investigates the spatio-temporal characteristics of wind speed . The results show that the average wind speed in Guizhou is highest in March and lowest in October , exhibiting a fluctuating pattern . Both annual and seasonal average wind speeds show a decreasing trend , with a rate of decline lower than the national average . Significant abrupt changes are seen in the annual and seasonal average wind speeds , accompanied by two to three distinct periodic variations across all time scales . Spatially , the annual and seasonal average wind speeds generally decrease from west to east. Apart from an increasing trend observed along the eastern edge of the province , all the other areas have a decreasing trend . A significant positive correlation is found between wind speed and elevation at both annual and seasonal scales . The annual and seasonal average wind speed changes are significantly positively correlated . It is found that the areas such Guiyang in central part of Guizhou Province , Bijie in the west , Qianxinan , Liupanshui , Anshun , and the northern part of Qiannan , are rich in wind energy resources and suitable for the development of related industries . At the same time , adverse effects of local altitude and climate change on wind resources need to be considered .

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袁缘,任青峰,王丹,等.1971—2023 年贵州省风速时空变化特征[J].山地气象学报,2025,49(5):59-65.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-11-29
  • 最后修改日期:2025-04-27
  • 录用日期:2025-05-09
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-12-03
  • 出版日期: 2025-10-30
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