重庆雨季开始期演变特征分析
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1.重庆市云阳县气象局;2.重庆市气候中心

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重庆市自然科学基金面上项目(2024NSCQ - KJFZMSX0099) 。


Evolution Characteristics of the Onset Dates of Rainy Season in Chongqing
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1.Yunyang Meteorological Station of Chongqing;2.Chongqing Climate Center;3.Yunyang Meteorological Bureau of Chongqing

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    摘要:

    【目的】为分析重庆地区雨季开始期的演变特征。【方法】利用重庆市 34 个国家气象站 1971—2024 年逐日降水观测资料,采用相关分析、M-K 和 Morlet 小波分析等方法。【结果】1) 重庆的雨季开始时间跨度相对较大,各站多年平均开始日期从 4 月下旬一直到 5 月 中旬,呈现出从中部向西部和东北部逐渐推进的趋势。雨季开始日期的年际差异也较大,全市最早于 2002 年出现雨季,最晚则在 2007 年,两者相差 29 d。雨季开始偏晚年份有 12 a , 偏早年份有 11 a。2)4—5 月的累计降水量变化与雨季开始时间密切相关,雨季开始偏早( 晚)的年份,4—5 月 的累计降水量多数年份偏多( 少)。3) 2000s 初及2010s 左右年际变率在 10 ~ 14 a 周期上较明显,1980s 末和 1990s 初年际变率在 6 ~ 8 a 周期上较明显,2010s 末年际变率在 4 a周期上较明显。【结论】重庆各地的雨季开始时间空间分布和年际变化差异均较大,雨季开始日期的最早与最晚之间相差达29 d;重庆雨季开始期的年际变率呈一定的周期变化。

    Abstract:

    Abstract: Using daily precipitation observation data from 34 national meteorological stations in Chongqing from 1971 to 2024 , this study aims to explore the evolution characteristics of the rainy season onset dates in Chongqing. Methods such as correlation analysis , M-K test , and Morlet wavelet analysis are applied . The results show that : (1) The onset of rainy season in Chongqing spans a wide temporal range , with multi-year average onset dates ranging from late April to mid-May , demonstrating a progressive trend gradually from the central region to the western and northeastern regions . The inter-annual variation of the rainy season onset dates is also large , with the earliest onset across the city in 2002 and the latest in 2007 , so there is a difference of 29 days between the earliest and latest onset dates of rainy season . There are 12 years with later onset and 11 years with earlier onset of rainy season . (2) The variation of accumulated precipitation in April-May is closely related to the rainy season onset time . In most years with earlier (later) onset of rainy season , the accumulated precipitation in April-May is more (less) . (3) The inter-annual variability in the early 21st century and around the 2010s is more pronounced in the 10 - to 14-year cycle , the inter-annual variability in the late 1980s and early 1990s is more prominent in the 6 - to 8 - year cycle , and the inter-annual variability in the late 2010s exhibits a stronger signal in the 4-year cycle . In conclusion , the spatial distribution and inter-annual variation of the rainy season onset dates in Chongqing are both large , with a difference of up to 29 days between the earliest and latest onset dates . The inter-annual variability of the rainy season onset in Chongqing shows a certain periodic change .

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廖小华,杨琴,马月,等.重庆雨季开始期演变特征分析[J].山地气象学报,2026,50(1):81-85.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-10-28
  • 最后修改日期:2025-07-31
  • 录用日期:2025-08-01
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-03-10
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