不同观测时次对风速统计结果的影响
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1.广东省生态气象中心;2.广东省气象数据中心;3.自然资源部南海预报减灾中心;4.广东省气候中心

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广东省气象数据中心科研项目(2023A10) ;广东省科技计划项目(2023B1212060019) ;中国气象局秦岭和黄土高原生态环境气象重点实验室开放研究基金(2024Y - 15)


Influence of Different Observation Times on Statistical Results of Wind Speeds
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1.Guangdong Ecological Meteorological Centre;2.Guangdong Meteorological Data Centre;3.South China Sea Marine Forecasting and Disater Reduction Center,Ministry of Natural Resource;4.Guangdong Climate Centre

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    摘要:

    【目的】为探究不同观测时次对风速统计结果的影响。【方法】利用 2007—2023 年电白国家基准站的逐时风速及风向观测数据,采用线性回归分析、均值 t 检验和相关系数等方法,系统分析了不同观测时次对不同时间尺度风速均值及不同风向风速均值统计结果的影响。【结果】1)4 次观测(Ve4 、V4 )计算得到的年、月尺度风速均值偏低,而 3 次观测(Ve3 、V3 ) 计算的年、月尺度风速均值与 24 次(V24 )风速均值较为接近;2)在计算不同风向的风速均值时,由于风向的随机性及多寡规律,部分盛行风向中 3 次观测计算的风速均值与 V24 存在一定的差异,4 次观测中 V4 计算的不同风向风速均值结果较为稳定且与V24 的计算结果差异较小,而非盛行风向的风速误差普遍较大;3) 近 17 a 来,基于 5 种观测时次计算的电白地区年、月尺度平均风速均呈减小趋势,且秋冬季节减小趋势更明显,5 种观测时次计算的平均风速线性趋势结果无明显差异。【结论】在使用国家气象站的历史风速风向数据时,需要充分考虑不同观测时次变化对统计数据准确性的影响。

    Abstract:

    Abstract : This paper systematically analyzes the influence of different observation times on the statistical results of wind speed averages and wind speeds in various wind directions by using hourly wind speed and direction observation data in 2007—2023 from the Dianbai National Benchmark Climate Station . Methods such as linear regression analysis , t-test of mean values , and correlation coefficients are adopted to evaluate the impact of different observation times on long-term wind data statistics . The results are as follows:1) The average annual and monthly wind speeds obtained from four times of observation (Ve4 , V4 ) are lower , while those from three times of observation (Ve3 , V3 ) are closer to the mean wind speeds from 24 times of observation ( V24 ) . 2 ) When different wind directions are considered , there are certain differences between the wind speed averages calculated by three times of observation (Ve3 , V3 ) and V24 in some prevailing wind directions as the result of randomness and regularity of wind direction . In four observation times , the average wind speeds of V4 have more stable results with a smaller difference from V24 , while the wind speed error in non-prevailing wind directions is larger generally. 3 ) Over the past 17 years , both the monthly and annual average wind speeds in the Dianbai region have shown a decreasing trend , with a more pronounced decrease in autumn and winter. There is no significant difference in the linear trend results of the average wind speeds calculated by five times of observation . Overall , when the historical wind speed and direction data from national meteorological stations are used , the impact of observation times on data accuracy must be fully considered .

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张可彧,江铭诺,向昆仑,等.不同观测时次对风速统计结果的影响[J].山地气象学报,2025,49(6):28-35.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-09-27
  • 最后修改日期:2025-05-23
  • 录用日期:2025-06-10
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-01-29
  • 出版日期: 2025-12-08
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