黔北 1 次 “列车效应 ”诱发的致灾性大暴雨成因分析
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遵义市气象局

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省市联合基金项目(黔气科合 SS〔2023〕23 号);省市联合基金开放项目(黔气科合 SS - KF〔2024〕05 号);市县联合 科研基金项目(ZYQXKY - SX〔2024〕03 号);贵州省科技厅项目(黔科合基础 - ZK〔2022〕一般 272)


Causes of a Disaster-causing Rainstorm Induced by “Train Effect” in Northern Guizhou
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Zunyi Meterological Bureau

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    摘要:

    【目的】为探讨黔北 1 次“列车效应 ”诱发的致灾性大暴雨的动热力结构及“列车效应 ”传播机制。【方法】利用贵州遵义地区共 521 个地面自动气象站资料、探空资料、多普勒天气雷达资料及 ERA5 逐小时再分析资料等,针对贵州遵义2021 年 9 月 11 日夜间 1 次致灾性大暴雨过程的对流触发条件、动热力结构、“列车效应 ”中尺度系统传播特征等进行分析。 【结果】1)中尺度对流系统自西向东持续影响遵义西部,形成“列车效应 ”,是此次致灾性大暴雨过程最显著的特征,高空引导气流与对流系统走向平行是“列车效应 ”产生并最终导致大暴雨发生的关键因子。2) “列车效应 ”发生在 200 hPa 强辐散及500 hPa 高原槽东移背景下,双台风及孟加拉湾风暴为暴雨区提供了充沛的水汽及能量,低层中尺度辐合线扰动是此次大暴雨过程最主要的触发机制。3)500 hPa 和 850 hPa 假相当位温差值对对流不稳定度有较好体现,且中低层正涡度中心与负散度中心重合区对强降水有较好指示意义。低层中尺度辐合系统东部有中尺度垂直反环流存在,高低空气流耦合使得环流西侧垂直运动加强,最终表现为暴雨区持续的上升运动,为“列车效应 ”的发生提供了优越的抬升条件。【结论】该文对强降水个例中“列车效应 ”成因进行分析,所得结论有助于进一步加深预报员对本地强降水“列车效应 ”传播机制的理解及认识,从而为同类型强降水预报提供参考。

    Abstract:

    Abstract: To investigate the dynamic and thermodynamic structure of a disaster-causing rainstorm induced by the " train effect " in northern Guizhou Province and the transmission mechanism of the " train effect " , based on the data of 521 automatic weather stations , radiosonde data , Doppler weather radar data and ERA5 hourly reanalysis data in Zunyi , Guizhou Province , this paper analyzes the convective triggering conditions , dynamic thermal structure and meso-scale system propagation characteristics of the " train effect " during the disaster-causing heavy rainstorm on the night of September 11 , 2021 . The results show that : 1 ) The meso-scale convective system continued to impact the west of Zunyi from west to east , forming a " train effect " , which was the most significant feature of the disaster-causing heavy rainstorm process . The key factor for the " train effect " to occur and eventually lead to the heavy rainstorm was that the high-altitude guiding air flow was parallel to the convective system. 2) The " train effect " occurred under the background of strong divergence at 200 hPa and a plateau trough moving east at 500 hPa. The two typhoons and the Bay of Bengal storm provided abundant water vapor and energy to the rainstorm area , and the low-level meso-scale convergence disturbance was the primary triggering mechanism of this rainstorm process . 3) The pseudo-equivalent temperature difference between 500 hPa and 850 hPa is a good indication of convective instability , and the coincidence area of positive vorticity center and negative divergence center is a good indicator for heavy precipitation . In this case of heavy rainstorm , there was a meso-scale vertical counter-circulation in the east of the low-level meso-scale convergence system , and the coupling of high and low air flows strengthened the vertical motion on the west side of the circulation . Finally , it developed into continuous upward motion in the rainstorm area , providing superior lifting conditions for the occurrence of the " train effect " . In a word , this paper analyzes the causes of the " train effect " in the heavy rainstorm case , and the conclusions are helpful to further deepen the understanding of the " train effect " propagation mechanism of local heavy precipitation , and can provide a reference for forecasting the similar heavy precipitation .

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黎凤丹,林雪飞,田端,等.黔北 1 次 “列车效应 ”诱发的致灾性大暴雨成因分析[J].山地气象学报,2025,49(5):18-25.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-09-16
  • 最后修改日期:2025-07-30
  • 录用日期:2025-08-01
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-12-03
  • 出版日期: 2025-10-30
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