2209号台风“马鞍”造成广西极端风雨的特征及成因分析
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1.广西壮族自治区防城港市气象局;2.广西壮族自治区气候中心;3.广西壮族自治区东兴市气象局;4.广西壮族自治区贵港市气象局

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广西气象科研计划项目(桂气科2023ZL04)、广西自然科学基金(2020GXNSFAA297122)、广西气象科研计划创新平台专项(BNCO-N202302)、广西台风与海洋预报服务创新团队。


Analysis on the Characteristics and Causes of Extreme Wind and Rainfall Brought by Typhoon “Ma-on” ( No.2209 ) to Guangxi
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1.Fangchenggang Meteorological Office of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region;2.Guangxi Climate Center;3.Dongxing Meteorological Office of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region;4.Guigang Meteorological Office of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region

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Funded by Guangxi Meteorological Science Research Plan Project ( 2023ZL04 ), Guangxi Natural Science Foundation ( 2020GXNSFAA297122 ), Guangxi Meteorological Science Research Plan Innovation Platform Project ( BNCO-N202302 ), Guangxi Typhoon and Ocean Forecast Service Innovation Team

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    摘要:

    【目的】分析2209号台风“马鞍”造成广西极端风雨的特征及成因。【方法】利用NCEP 0.25°× 0.25°再分析资料、广西自动气象站观测资料、FY-2G卫星云图和防城港天气雷达资料,采用天气学诊断方法对此次过程进行分析。【结果】1)此次台风过程具有风雨极端性强,局地性明显,强降雨时间短等特征;极端降水出现在台风登陆越南后,而极端大风出现在台风登陆前;风雨极端值均出现在防城港市。2)超低空偏南和偏东南急流在防城港一带形成辐合,防城港海岸和陆地水汽、动力条件均较东兴南部近海海面要强,同时海岸线附近存在摩擦辐合和中尺度辐合线,这是初始强回波靠近防城港海岸时发展加强的可能原因;偏南暖湿急流在海岸线和迎风坡处被迫抬升形成中小尺度对流,对极端暴雨有明显增幅作用;而中小尺度对流反复在海岸和山前地区发展并向暴雨中心方向移动,形成“列车效应”,降水效率高,这是引起防城港出现局地极端强降水的直接原因。3)万尾岛站低空由偏北气流转为偏东南暖湿气流,并且万尾岛站位于上升气流非常强的雷暴附近,低空暖湿入流在快要进入上升气流区时受到上升气流区的抽吸作用而加速,从而导致此次地面短时极端大风。【结论】近海加强和“列车效应”是沿海地区出现极端强降雨的降水回波特征,在预报预警中需注意关注。

    Abstract:

    Based on the NCEP 0.25 ° × 0.25 ° reanalysis data, observation data of Guangxi automatic weather station, FY-2G satellite cloud image and weather radar data of Fangchenggang, the characteristics and causes of extreme wind and rain caused by Typhoon “Ma-on”(No. 2209 ) in Guangxi are analyzed by synoptic diagnosis method. The results show that: 1) This typhoon process had the characteristics of strong wind and rain extremes, obvious locality and short severe rainfall duration. Extreme rainfall occurred after the typhoon landed in Vietnam, while extreme winds appeared before the typhoon landed. The extreme values of wind and rain both were caught in Fangchenggang City. 2) The ultra-low-level southerly and southeasterly jets converged in the area of Fangchenggang. The water vapor and dynamic conditions over the coast and land of Fangchenggang were stronger than those in the offshore sea in the south of Dongxing. At the same time, there were friction convergence and mesoscale convergence lines near the coastline, which are the possible causes for the development and strengthening of the initial strong echo near the coast of Fangchenggang. The southerly warm moist jet was forced to uplift at the coastline and windward slope forming small-and meso-scale convections, which had a significant strengthening effect on extreme rainstorm. The small-and meso-scale convections repeatedly developed in the coast and the piedmont area and moved to the center of the rainstorm, forming the “train effect” and causing high efficiency of rainfall. This was the direct cause for the localized extreme severe rainfall in Fangchenggang. 3) The low-level airflow at Wanweidao Station turned from northerly airflow to southeasterly warm-humid airflow when Wanweidao Station was near the thunderstorm with very strong updraft. The low-level warm-humid inflow was accelerated by the suction of the updraft area when it was about to enter the updraft area, which led to the short-time extreme strong winds on the ground. In conclusion, the offshore intensification and “train effect”"" are the precipitation echo characteristics of extreme severe rainfall in coastal areas, which should be paid attention to in the forecasting and early warning of extreme severe precipitation.

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陈绍河,郑凤琴,李艳兰,等.2209号台风“马鞍”造成广西极端风雨的特征及成因分析[J].山地气象学报,2025,49(4):78-86.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-07-10
  • 最后修改日期:2024-10-30
  • 录用日期:2024-11-11
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-09-18
  • 出版日期: 2025-08-30
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